Predicting unpredictability

Steven J. Davis

Index: 10.1038/s41560-018-0127-y

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Abstract

Predicting unpredictability Predicting unpredictability, Published online: 26 March 2018; doi:10.1038/s41560-018-0127-yAnalysts and markets have struggled to predict a number of phenomena, such as the rise of natural gas, in US energy markets over the past decade or so. Research shows the challenge may grow because the industry — and consequently the market — is becoming increasingly volatile.